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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+6.40vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+5.04vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+3.96vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.13vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+1.96vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+0.73vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.23+2.91vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-3.88vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-3.12vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-2.43vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-3.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-3.05vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-3.02vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.18-7.44vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-3.48vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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5.12Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.56Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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12.52Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.66Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 1.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 27.6% | 4.2% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.