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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+6.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+5.45vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+5.05vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+5.02vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93-0.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.51vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+1.36vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15-0.41vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-1.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-2.24vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.82+1.54vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31-1.18vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-3.10vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-5.94vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.23-3.92vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-7.43vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.88Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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16.66Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.1% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Christian Filter | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 33.2% | 4.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 1.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 1.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 89.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.