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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+6.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+5.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.88vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+5.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.79vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.97+2.54vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+0.74vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.84vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-3.90vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-2.05vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.31-0.03vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-4.10vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.23-1.72vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-4.09vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-6.48vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-3.49vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.77-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.1Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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16.67Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 3.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 0.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 27.4% | 4.1% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 5.6% | 88.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.