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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+6.64vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+4.73vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+0.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+1.19vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.81+2.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-0.55vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-0.77vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61-0.34vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-2.47vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.23-0.95vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82-0.40vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-5.99vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-6.46vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.77+0.62vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.31-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.98Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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16.62Maine Maritime Academy-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.92Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.6% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Christian Filter | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 1.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 31.1% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Kent | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 90.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.