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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.02+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound1.26+3.28vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.31+2.20vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.76+0.09vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.80+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.55+0.79vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.87-3.13vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.51-1.16vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.97-4.12vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.38-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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6.23Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Puget Sound0.550.1%1st Place
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3.87Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.84University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
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5.88University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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7.29University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 22.6% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Mike Knape | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| Evan Rankin | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Fuller | 14.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Sara Welsh | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.6% |
| John Elam | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 20.1% |
| Paul Foley | 15.7% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 20.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.9% |
| Alex Dodd | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.