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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.57+6.00vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.84+10.13vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+6.98vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+1.65vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+1.16vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.96+8.42vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.07-2.81vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.20+4.54vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.52-2.79vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.73-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.78vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.01-3.85vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.26-5.99vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-1.47vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.82-6.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-7.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Yale University1.577.5%1st Place
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12.13Christopher Newport University-0.842.2%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.6%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University2.1711.8%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College1.7110.1%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University1.867.8%1st Place
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15.42University of Michigan-0.960.9%1st Place
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5.19Stanford University2.0715.3%1st Place
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13.54University of Rhode Island-0.201.5%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University1.528.0%1st Place
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9.2Clemson University0.734.5%1st Place
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9.22University of Pennsylvania1.164.8%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University1.014.7%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston1.265.7%1st Place
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13.53Connecticut College-0.130.9%1st Place
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9.78Jacksonville University0.824.0%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.005.6%1st Place
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13.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 6.9% |
| Lina Carper | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Callie Davis | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 42.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 15.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| Marina Conde | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 14.9% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.