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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bryan Rust 22.6% 18.3% 16.5% 11.9% 10.0% 8.7% 5.4% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8%
Mike Knape 9.7% 8.9% 11.0% 11.8% 10.1% 13.0% 11.6% 9.1% 9.9% 4.9%
Evan Rankin 10.2% 9.5% 10.4% 10.6% 11.2% 14.3% 11.9% 9.8% 7.4% 4.7%
Christopher Fuller 14.4% 16.1% 15.1% 14.1% 12.9% 9.9% 8.2% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
Sara Welsh 7.3% 6.9% 7.1% 7.6% 8.7% 9.0% 13.8% 12.8% 14.2% 12.6%
John Elam 5.4% 5.8% 5.7% 5.6% 7.9% 9.7% 10.9% 12.4% 16.5% 20.1%
Paul Foley 15.7% 18.6% 14.6% 15.0% 12.9% 9.0% 6.5% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0%
Phoebe Gilday 4.1% 5.0% 6.8% 7.1% 8.0% 7.5% 11.3% 14.5% 15.7% 20.0%
Neil Roberts 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 10.2% 10.5% 10.6% 12.9% 13.6% 11.9% 7.9%
Alex Dodd 3.6% 3.3% 5.0% 6.1% 7.8% 8.3% 7.5% 14.5% 17.0% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.