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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.92+5.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+5.23vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.20+5.81vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+8.16vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13+4.27vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+0.43vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.60vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84-1.47vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.59+1.93vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.74vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.80-4.45vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.81-5.43vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.75-6.19vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.50-6.34vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.59vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.74-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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13.16Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.27Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.43Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.66Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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15.41Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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11.5Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Clapp | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Christian Moffitt | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 23.7% | 18.0% |
| Riley Read | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Joey Lark | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 8.4% |
| Mack Fox | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 15.6% | 57.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.