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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+5.89vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.51vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+4.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+3.37vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.50+3.50vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80+1.74vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13+3.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59+3.72vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.26vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.74+1.41vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75-3.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.91vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-4.62vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.81-6.41vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-1.71vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.20-6.11vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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5.51Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.45Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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11.72Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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11.41Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.29Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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15.4Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Riley Read | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Joey Lark | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 9.6% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Mack Fox | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 25.3% | 18.8% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.