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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+5.93vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.26vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.13+6.95vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+9.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+2.36vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+1.63vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+1.28vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-2.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.75-1.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.96vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.81-3.33vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.80-4.44vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.20-3.07vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.25+1.35vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-3.11vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-4.45vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.50-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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13.3Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.61Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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15.35Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.77Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Riley Read | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 1.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 25.2% | 18.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 58.8% |
| Joey Lark | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 7.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.