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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.94vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.25vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+4.48vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.75+3.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.54vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+2.42vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.81+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.20+1.62vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-1.76vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.50-1.47vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14+2.33vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.80-4.45vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.13-2.78vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-6.29vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-3.58vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.59-3.96vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.48Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.53Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.33Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.04Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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15.39Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Casey Cabot | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christian Moffitt | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Max Clapp | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Weed | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 25.0% | 19.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Riley Read | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 5.5% |
| Joey Lark | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 7.9% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.