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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+5.93vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+5.22vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.75+3.79vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+2.31vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80+1.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.62vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82-0.68vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14+4.51vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.20-0.35vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-5.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.50-3.35vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.84vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.13-3.75vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-3.11vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-4.46vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.32Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.51Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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5.8Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.65Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.25Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.38Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Casey Cabot | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Stephen Duncan | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 26.3% | 19.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Weed | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Mack Fox | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Joey Lark | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 8.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 6.3% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 15.7% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.