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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+8.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+3.22vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+5.86vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+5.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73+2.60vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+3.16vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.28+2.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.60+0.53vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.36vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.18vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-0.95vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.15-6.40vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-4.12vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.32-3.57vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.95-4.17vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.79-4.95vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.58-4.03vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.31-1.32vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College1.20-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Roger Williams University2.685.7%1st Place
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6.69Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University3.1811.8%1st Place
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9.86College of Charleston2.494.3%1st Place
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10.73University of Rhode Island2.783.9%1st Place
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8.6Brown University2.735.9%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University2.225.3%1st Place
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10.17Tulane University2.284.2%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Naval Academy2.605.7%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.9%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.0%1st Place
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11.05Boston College2.204.2%1st Place
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6.6Stanford University3.1511.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.7%1st Place
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11.43University of Miami2.323.4%1st Place
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11.83Dartmouth College1.953.4%1st Place
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12.05Cornell University1.792.6%1st Place
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13.97University of Pennsylvania1.581.8%1st Place
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17.68University of Wisconsin0.310.5%1st Place
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14.15Connecticut College1.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Guthrie Braun | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Cole Woodworth | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 54.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.