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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.76+3.07vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.02+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound1.26+2.34vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.87-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.31+0.04vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.80+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.55-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.51-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.38-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.97-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
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3.55Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.34University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.85Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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6.28Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
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7.22University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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5.91University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 16.8% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 21.2% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mike Knape | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Paul Foley | 16.8% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Evan Rankin | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Sara Welsh | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 12.9% |
| John Elam | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 19.8% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 20.3% |
| Alex Dodd | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 25.5% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.