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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christopher Fuller 16.8% 16.1% 14.8% 13.4% 9.9% 9.5% 9.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6%
Bryan Rust 21.2% 19.0% 15.1% 13.4% 10.9% 8.5% 6.0% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Mike Knape 9.1% 9.5% 10.3% 9.4% 11.6% 13.1% 14.0% 9.8% 7.9% 5.3%
Paul Foley 16.8% 17.5% 15.5% 14.4% 12.1% 9.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.6% 0.8%
Evan Rankin 11.4% 8.9% 10.8% 13.2% 12.3% 11.9% 10.9% 9.3% 7.3% 4.0%
Sara Welsh 7.0% 6.3% 7.5% 7.1% 8.8% 11.2% 11.2% 13.0% 15.0% 12.9%
John Elam 3.5% 4.9% 6.9% 6.5% 7.9% 9.0% 11.8% 14.2% 15.5% 19.8%
Phoebe Gilday 4.3% 4.5% 6.9% 6.7% 8.5% 8.2% 9.2% 15.0% 16.4% 20.3%
Alex Dodd 3.9% 4.5% 3.9% 6.3% 7.5% 9.0% 8.6% 12.0% 18.8% 25.5%
Neil Roberts 6.0% 8.8% 8.3% 9.6% 10.5% 10.1% 12.9% 13.1% 11.3% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.