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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+6.36vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+3.26vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.14+10.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.75+3.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.64vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+1.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-1.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+1.87vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.20+1.08vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-2.53vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-3.37vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-3.63vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.59-0.93vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.13-3.74vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.25+0.29vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.80-8.34vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.74-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.26Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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13.28Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.93Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.64Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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5.45Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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7.47Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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15.29Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 24.2% | 18.5% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Joey Lark | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 8.5% |
| Riley Read | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 56.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.