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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+6.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.20+7.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+1.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+3.21vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+1.82vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.75+0.82vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.14+5.11vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80-1.20vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.84-2.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.74+0.63vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-4.42vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-2.77vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.13-3.72vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.47-9.72vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.59-3.94vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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5.77Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.54Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.11Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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5.28Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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15.37Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 22.5% | 19.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 6.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Riley Read | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joey Lark | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 8.5% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 17.1% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.