← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.81+6.40vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.42+3.37vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.84+4.46vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.59+7.99vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.47+0.22vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.82+1.75vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.74+4.44vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.33-2.33vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.75-1.02vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-2.41vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.20-0.98vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.61-3.71vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.13-2.80vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.80-6.21vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College1.14-1.72vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-5.84vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.4Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.37Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.46Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
11.99Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
-
5.22Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
7.75Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
11.44Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
5.67Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.98Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
-
10.02University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
-
8.29Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
10.2Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
-
7.79University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
13.28Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
15.39Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joey Lark | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 8.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 5.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Riley Read | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 23.5% | 18.7% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 16.8% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.