← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.33+4.56vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.47+3.17vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.74+8.48vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.42+1.55vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.84+2.27vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+1.85vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.61+1.37vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.75-0.35vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.82-1.28vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.14+3.35vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.20-1.00vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.81-4.43vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-2.80vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.13-3.75vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.59-3.08vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.80-8.31vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.56Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
5.17Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
11.48Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
5.55Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.27Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
-
8.37Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.65Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.72Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
13.35Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.0University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
-
7.57Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
10.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
10.25Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
-
11.92Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
-
7.69University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
15.41Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 7.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Casey Cabot | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 16.8% |
| Christian Moffitt | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Riley Read | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Joey Lark | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 8.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.