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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.60vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.34vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+4.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.20+5.86vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+2.33vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80+1.81vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+0.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+0.14vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.47-3.57vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14+3.38vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75-3.01vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.74-0.54vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-7.46vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.72vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.13-4.90vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.59-3.96vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.43Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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13.38Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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12.04Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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15.42Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 23.5% | 16.9% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 5.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Riley Read | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Joey Lark | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 9.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 14.2% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.