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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+8.92vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+2.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+1.51vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.74+6.30vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13+4.31vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.75+0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.20+1.68vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80-1.22vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.59+1.96vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61-2.50vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-4.47vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.84-5.40vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.14-0.54vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-7.31vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.81-8.37vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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5.67Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.27Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.3Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.31Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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7.81Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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11.96Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.53Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.46Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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15.39Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 5.8% |
| Riley Read | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Casey Cabot | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Joey Lark | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 7.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 25.7% | 18.9% |
| Stephen Duncan | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.