Race 1A

kp-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lilly Myers 22.8% 20.5% 17.7% 13.7% 10.3% 6.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Flaherty 6.5% 6.7% 8.7% 7.5% 10.4% 11.4% 12.3% 12.8% 10.1% 7.3% 4.3% 1.8% 0.2%
Bridget Lawless 9.9% 11.6% 13.7% 12.9% 12.2% 11.4% 10.6% 8.6% 5.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 7.8% 8.2% 9.0% 11.1% 10.5% 12.4% 12.2% 9.2% 9.0% 6.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 7.1% 7.7% 9.1% 8.8% 12.7% 13.0% 11.6% 10.6% 4.6% 1.1%
Meredith Moran 21.7% 20.2% 16.4% 12.9% 11.2% 6.7% 5.6% 2.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Howie 13.7% 14.5% 14.0% 12.9% 13.5% 10.4% 9.1% 5.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.7% 4.0% 3.3% 5.3% 5.2% 6.8% 9.7% 10.4% 14.3% 15.0% 13.8% 7.3% 2.2%
Sunrae Sturmer 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 3.7% 3.5% 6.3% 6.5% 8.1% 12.0% 15.8% 17.4% 14.0% 4.5%
Maggie Costikyan 5.7% 5.2% 6.0% 8.0% 8.5% 10.9% 12.1% 11.9% 11.0% 9.9% 6.9% 2.9% 1.0%
Maddie Talecki 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.9% 4.0% 4.2% 5.8% 10.0% 9.5% 14.1% 19.9% 17.1% 8.2%
zoe clougher 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 3.2% 5.1% 6.5% 11.2% 25.5% 41.4%
Elizabeth Bailey 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 2.2% 1.5% 2.6% 4.0% 7.4% 11.5% 25.8% 41.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.