Race 2A

kp-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Anna Flaherty 6.0% 5.7% 8.3% 9.3% 11.0% 11.0% 11.9% 11.8% 11.3% 7.3% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Lilly Myers 22.7% 20.9% 17.5% 12.8% 9.2% 8.3% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Howie 12.5% 15.4% 15.4% 11.3% 14.1% 10.3% 9.1% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 20.8% 19.3% 15.2% 14.6% 10.1% 8.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Bridget Lawless 12.4% 11.2% 12.1% 12.3% 12.7% 12.0% 10.8% 7.2% 4.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 8.0% 9.0% 9.0% 10.8% 12.2% 11.7% 10.2% 10.7% 8.2% 6.0% 3.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Clara Guarascio 4.2% 2.5% 4.1% 5.9% 5.2% 7.2% 8.2% 9.9% 16.1% 13.3% 12.7% 8.8% 1.9%
Sunrae Sturmer 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 3.7% 3.1% 5.3% 7.3% 9.6% 13.0% 14.8% 17.5% 12.8% 4.2%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 4.2% 4.0% 4.4% 6.4% 6.9% 8.7% 9.9% 11.8% 13.7% 13.2% 10.5% 5.0% 1.3%
Maddie Talecki 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% 2.8% 3.1% 5.9% 7.4% 10.1% 13.4% 19.3% 17.8% 11.0%
Maggie Costikyan 4.7% 6.0% 7.1% 7.0% 10.4% 10.4% 12.0% 13.1% 9.6% 11.5% 5.5% 1.9% 0.8%
Elizabeth Bailey 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 1.6% 0.8% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 7.5% 10.9% 25.2% 40.9%
zoe clougher 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 3.2% 4.1% 7.1% 13.1% 26.1% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.