Race 3A

kp-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Grace Howie 14.4% 13.2% 13.7% 13.4% 12.3% 12.9% 7.5% 5.4% 5.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 7.4% 8.0% 9.0% 11.5% 12.0% 12.9% 8.9% 13.0% 8.3% 5.5% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Lilly Myers 22.4% 19.7% 17.7% 12.9% 11.5% 7.6% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 20.4% 19.8% 16.7% 14.1% 11.2% 7.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Anna Flaherty 6.7% 8.5% 8.2% 9.9% 9.4% 11.3% 11.6% 10.2% 12.1% 6.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Bridget Lawless 11.5% 12.4% 14.2% 12.7% 12.5% 10.8% 8.8% 8.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Bailey 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 4.6% 7.8% 11.7% 22.9% 40.0%
Maggie Costikyan 5.0% 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 9.6% 10.0% 13.4% 12.2% 11.6% 11.3% 5.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 4.0% 4.3% 4.6% 6.3% 6.6% 7.7% 10.1% 13.1% 13.9% 12.2% 10.2% 5.1% 1.9%
Clara Guarascio 3.8% 3.4% 3.2% 5.2% 6.0% 6.6% 8.7% 11.2% 13.1% 13.6% 12.6% 9.4% 3.2%
zoe clougher 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 1.2% 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 5.0% 6.5% 15.2% 23.5% 37.9%
Maddie Talecki 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 2.9% 4.1% 6.2% 5.8% 9.6% 15.0% 18.1% 21.4% 10.2%
Sunrae Sturmer 2.0% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 8.3% 9.7% 10.3% 16.8% 17.8% 12.6% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.