Race 6A

west-canada-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bryan Rust 22.0% 19.5% 15.5% 12.0% 10.3% 8.2% 5.5% 4.5% 1.7% 0.8%
Sara Welsh 7.3% 4.9% 7.2% 8.5% 8.7% 10.9% 12.3% 12.8% 14.7% 12.7%
Christopher Fuller 15.0% 14.7% 14.3% 13.7% 12.6% 11.0% 8.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.4%
Neil Roberts 5.9% 7.4% 10.0% 9.2% 9.6% 11.7% 14.7% 10.1% 12.2% 9.2%
John Elam 5.3% 6.0% 6.4% 6.0% 7.5% 8.4% 9.6% 13.2% 17.7% 19.9%
Evan Rankin 12.2% 8.8% 9.2% 12.6% 11.9% 12.5% 11.3% 10.8% 6.8% 3.9%
Mike Knape 7.8% 10.4% 11.6% 11.3% 12.0% 12.0% 11.6% 11.1% 6.9% 5.3%
Paul Foley 16.9% 19.3% 14.4% 14.4% 10.8% 9.7% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 0.8%
Phoebe Gilday 4.2% 4.9% 5.4% 6.9% 8.4% 8.3% 11.4% 13.6% 16.4% 20.5%
Alex Dodd 3.4% 4.1% 6.0% 5.4% 8.2% 7.3% 9.2% 12.9% 18.0% 25.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.