Race 4A

kp-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Grace Howie 14.1% 13.5% 15.2% 12.2% 14.3% 11.4% 8.1% 5.7% 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Lilly Myers 21.5% 21.6% 17.7% 13.7% 9.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 19.9% 19.5% 16.4% 14.1% 10.9% 7.7% 6.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Anna Flaherty 6.3% 7.7% 6.9% 9.2% 10.3% 10.7% 11.9% 13.2% 9.5% 7.6% 4.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Maggie Costikyan 5.4% 5.4% 6.9% 7.8% 9.1% 9.4% 11.3% 12.0% 12.8% 8.9% 7.3% 3.1% 0.6%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 4.8% 7.3% 10.0% 10.4% 10.4% 14.7% 13.1% 9.0% 5.9% 0.6%
Bridget Lawless 11.9% 12.2% 11.8% 12.1% 11.8% 12.3% 10.8% 8.8% 4.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Maddie Talecki 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 4.0% 3.5% 4.6% 7.2% 10.6% 13.1% 21.7% 18.2% 8.9%
Sunrae Sturmer 2.3% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 4.3% 5.3% 7.0% 10.0% 11.1% 16.9% 16.2% 13.7% 4.6%
Payton Canavan 8.9% 7.7% 9.2% 11.9% 11.7% 10.6% 11.4% 10.4% 6.9% 7.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Clara Guarascio 2.9% 2.4% 4.5% 6.6% 4.7% 7.6% 8.8% 11.7% 14.8% 14.7% 11.3% 7.4% 2.6%
zoe clougher 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 3.2% 4.3% 7.4% 11.5% 24.5% 41.0%
Elizabeth Bailey 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 5.5% 6.1% 12.5% 24.8% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.