Race 5A

kp-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Grace Howie 14.3% 14.3% 12.7% 13.6% 12.5% 11.0% 9.2% 6.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Lilly Myers 22.5% 21.2% 16.9% 13.5% 10.5% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Lawless 9.7% 12.4% 12.3% 13.3% 11.5% 13.1% 9.8% 8.0% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Meredith Moran 20.4% 18.2% 16.2% 16.7% 10.2% 7.6% 5.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
zoe clougher 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.9% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 3.0% 4.7% 7.8% 13.1% 23.3% 38.9%
Anna Flaherty 7.6% 5.6% 8.4% 8.4% 10.6% 11.1% 13.3% 10.8% 10.9% 6.6% 5.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Clara Guarascio 3.8% 3.1% 3.2% 6.5% 6.2% 5.0% 9.3% 12.7% 12.6% 14.9% 12.5% 8.4% 1.8%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 3.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.9% 7.3% 9.1% 10.7% 11.8% 15.5% 12.7% 8.8% 4.4% 1.4%
Sunrae Sturmer 2.3% 2.3% 3.5% 3.3% 4.9% 4.9% 6.2% 10.0% 11.2% 15.6% 18.2% 11.7% 5.9%
Maggie Costikyan 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 5.8% 9.3% 10.7% 12.1% 11.7% 11.4% 10.4% 5.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Payton Canavan 7.5% 9.6% 10.6% 9.9% 11.0% 12.6% 11.8% 10.3% 8.0% 5.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Maddie Talecki 1.0% 1.0% 3.2% 1.6% 3.3% 5.1% 4.2% 7.2% 9.6% 14.2% 18.5% 20.8% 10.3%
Elizabeth Bailey 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.9% 4.0% 7.2% 13.6% 25.0% 40.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.