Race 6A

kp-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lilly Myers 22.8% 19.5% 16.8% 15.2% 9.5% 8.1% 4.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Lawless 10.9% 12.1% 14.5% 11.0% 12.3% 11.9% 9.6% 8.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 20.6% 19.0% 17.0% 14.0% 12.8% 7.1% 5.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Flaherty 6.5% 6.4% 8.2% 9.3% 10.2% 11.5% 11.3% 12.6% 11.1% 7.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Grace Howie 14.1% 15.8% 13.8% 13.2% 12.9% 10.5% 8.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 4.2% 4.0% 4.7% 6.7% 6.9% 9.5% 10.1% 12.2% 12.8% 13.4% 9.2% 5.0% 1.3%
Payton Canavan 8.8% 8.5% 9.7% 9.9% 10.6% 11.9% 11.0% 11.2% 9.1% 5.0% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Clara Guarascio 2.4% 4.5% 3.7% 4.9% 5.6% 6.7% 9.3% 10.8% 13.4% 15.7% 13.8% 7.3% 1.9%
zoe clougher 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.0% 3.2% 5.1% 5.8% 11.6% 22.8% 41.9%
Maggie Costikyan 5.8% 5.1% 5.5% 8.2% 9.1% 9.7% 12.8% 11.2% 10.3% 11.9% 5.5% 3.9% 1.0%
Elizabeth Bailey 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 7.8% 14.0% 25.6% 35.6%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 4.1% 4.4% 4.7% 7.8% 8.0% 12.0% 16.8% 15.9% 13.0% 6.8%
Maddie Talecki 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 2.6% 4.4% 5.2% 8.1% 10.2% 11.6% 21.7% 19.0% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.