Race 7A

kp-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sinead McManus 13.3% 12.9% 14.8% 12.9% 14.2% 10.5% 10.2% 5.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Grace Howie 12.3% 13.5% 13.6% 13.5% 12.2% 12.0% 8.0% 7.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Clara Guarascio 2.9% 1.8% 2.6% 3.9% 6.5% 4.7% 10.5% 12.6% 13.2% 16.0% 13.8% 9.1% 2.4%
Payton Canavan 6.2% 7.5% 7.3% 11.2% 10.5% 13.0% 11.3% 11.3% 10.9% 6.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Audrey Morin 12.0% 14.0% 12.2% 13.1% 10.3% 13.1% 9.8% 7.1% 4.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 3.5% 3.6% 4.8% 6.4% 6.0% 7.5% 10.9% 13.7% 14.2% 13.6% 9.6% 5.0% 1.2%
zoe clougher 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 3.2% 6.0% 6.7% 11.3% 25.9% 39.0%
Lilly Myers 21.6% 17.8% 16.7% 14.3% 12.0% 8.0% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Maggie Costikyan 4.4% 5.5% 5.2% 6.2% 7.5% 9.9% 13.0% 12.8% 12.2% 12.1% 6.8% 3.5% 0.9%
Meredith Moran 20.0% 18.7% 16.8% 11.0% 12.4% 7.8% 6.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Maddie Talecki 1.2% 1.1% 2.2% 1.8% 3.3% 5.3% 5.8% 6.6% 10.2% 15.7% 19.9% 17.3% 9.6%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 5.6% 5.5% 10.2% 11.5% 15.5% 20.7% 13.1% 5.0%
Elizabeth Bailey 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.9% 3.0% 4.6% 7.3% 12.7% 24.3% 41.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.