Race 8A

kp-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lilly Myers 21.7% 17.8% 17.7% 13.0% 10.8% 8.4% 6.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Howie 12.0% 14.0% 13.4% 13.4% 12.0% 10.9% 9.8% 7.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 5.9% 7.6% 9.0% 8.8% 11.6% 10.6% 12.5% 13.9% 8.6% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Sinead McManus 13.5% 14.3% 12.6% 14.7% 11.1% 12.0% 9.2% 6.1% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Meredith Moran 20.7% 17.2% 16.6% 11.4% 12.1% 10.3% 5.9% 3.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Maggie Costikyan 5.0% 4.5% 6.3% 7.6% 7.8% 9.0% 12.1% 12.7% 14.4% 10.7% 5.9% 3.5% 0.5%
Audrey Morin 12.8% 13.2% 9.6% 12.8% 14.6% 10.7% 9.9% 8.0% 5.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Maddie Talecki 1.1% 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.8% 7.1% 11.6% 14.8% 20.9% 17.5% 10.8%
Elizabeth Bailey 0.7% 0.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 4.0% 7.3% 10.4% 26.3% 40.4%
zoe clougher 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 4.4% 6.9% 12.6% 25.9% 38.5%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.9% 1.8% 2.9% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 7.8% 10.4% 13.1% 15.8% 17.1% 10.8% 4.7%
Clara Guarascio 1.7% 3.1% 3.3% 4.4% 4.6% 7.2% 7.1% 11.0% 12.4% 18.4% 15.0% 8.0% 3.8%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 2.4% 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 6.1% 8.1% 11.0% 11.8% 15.5% 12.7% 12.1% 6.4% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.