Race 9A

kp-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lilly Myers 20.8% 18.9% 16.1% 14.7% 11.7% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Payton Canavan 7.3% 6.5% 8.7% 9.7% 11.5% 12.1% 12.9% 10.5% 10.2% 6.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Grace Howie 11.5% 13.6% 13.5% 13.6% 10.9% 12.6% 11.7% 5.8% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Meredith Moran 18.9% 17.9% 15.3% 14.2% 12.2% 8.8% 6.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Audrey Morin 12.5% 12.4% 12.9% 10.8% 12.6% 13.5% 10.1% 6.8% 4.9% 2.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Maggie Costikyan 4.4% 5.0% 5.9% 7.2% 8.9% 8.6% 11.3% 13.6% 13.0% 11.7% 6.7% 3.1% 0.6%
Sinead McManus 15.2% 14.0% 13.4% 13.0% 14.7% 9.1% 9.2% 5.6% 3.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.4% 4.1% 3.3% 4.7% 4.2% 7.0% 7.3% 13.7% 14.5% 15.7% 12.8% 7.7% 2.6%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 3.3% 3.9% 4.5% 6.2% 5.4% 8.6% 7.9% 13.8% 15.2% 13.7% 10.4% 5.6% 1.5%
zoe clougher 0.6% 0.2% 1.2% 0.6% 1.6% 2.3% 1.9% 3.4% 3.5% 7.9% 12.1% 23.4% 41.3%
Elizabeth Bailey 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 3.7% 5.6% 7.2% 14.3% 26.0% 36.6%
Maddie Talecki 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 4.0% 5.8% 6.3% 10.0% 13.8% 20.9% 19.0% 11.7%
Sunrae Sturmer 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 4.8% 7.7% 10.1% 12.8% 16.0% 17.9% 13.6% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.