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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.75+6.19vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.33+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68+4.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.16+2.03vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.08+4.67vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-0.56vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.38+1.81vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.04+1.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.96vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.23-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.18-1.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.87vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-0.22+1.01vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.74-2.79vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.02-4.99vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-3.43vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.40-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.67Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.81Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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14.01Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.21McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.01University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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12.57Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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14.47Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Reynolds | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| John Walton | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Emma Snead | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Giles Ruck | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 21.7% | 30.2% |
| Trevor Donovan | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 5.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| John Holt | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 12.3% |
| Owen Moore | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 17.7% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.