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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+4.78vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+3.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.75+4.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.23+4.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.26vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.04+3.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.68-0.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.97vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+2.50vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.02-0.82vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.38-3.31vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-0.22+1.01vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.18-4.37vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.74-4.02vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.08-6.10vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.40-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.45Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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12.5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.18University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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8.69Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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14.01Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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10.98McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.9Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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14.5Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Walton | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Emma Snead | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Nannig | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Holt | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 11.8% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Anthony Root | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Giles Ruck | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 21.3% | 30.3% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Donovan | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Owen Moore | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.