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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bryan Rust 21.6% 19.8% 14.0% 13.5% 9.5% 10.0% 5.3% 3.3% 1.9% 1.1%
Paul Foley 17.9% 15.0% 14.6% 15.5% 11.3% 9.6% 7.7% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7%
Phoebe Gilday 5.5% 3.6% 7.7% 4.6% 6.7% 7.3% 10.4% 14.7% 18.5% 21.0%
Mike Knape 8.2% 10.1% 11.5% 11.7% 11.7% 12.1% 12.2% 10.0% 8.0% 4.5%
John Elam 5.3% 6.0% 5.7% 7.3% 8.5% 7.8% 9.4% 13.8% 17.7% 18.5%
Christopher Fuller 16.4% 15.3% 14.6% 13.5% 11.5% 9.5% 9.0% 5.8% 2.4% 2.0%
Evan Rankin 8.6% 12.0% 11.0% 10.5% 12.6% 13.3% 12.2% 8.9% 6.4% 4.5%
Sara Welsh 5.7% 7.1% 7.6% 8.8% 8.4% 10.5% 13.0% 13.0% 13.3% 12.6%
Neil Roberts 7.3% 6.8% 8.3% 8.5% 12.6% 11.1% 11.4% 12.9% 12.1% 9.0%
Alex Dodd 3.5% 4.3% 5.0% 6.1% 7.2% 8.8% 9.4% 12.3% 17.3% 26.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.