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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+5.75vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.58+12.06vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+5.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+6.81vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18+1.13vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.28+4.15vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+3.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.86vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.32+2.30vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.71vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.49-1.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.60-2.84vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.73-6.13vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.95-2.19vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.79-2.87vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.68-6.59vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.02vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.22-8.11vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College1.20-4.57vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin0.31-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Stanford University3.159.1%1st Place
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14.06University of Pennsylvania1.581.8%1st Place
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8.55Brown University2.737.2%1st Place
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10.81Boston College2.203.8%1st Place
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6.13Harvard University3.1811.5%1st Place
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10.15Tulane University2.284.8%1st Place
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10.6University of Rhode Island2.784.5%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.2%1st Place
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11.3University of Miami2.323.8%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.5%1st Place
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9.65College of Charleston2.495.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy2.605.5%1st Place
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6.87Yale University2.7310.4%1st Place
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11.81Dartmouth College1.953.4%1st Place
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12.13Cornell University1.793.1%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University2.685.1%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University2.224.9%1st Place
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14.43Connecticut College1.201.9%1st Place
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17.75University of Wisconsin0.310.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 9.8% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 12.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 13.0% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.