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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.02+2.56vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.51+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound1.26+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.55+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.76-2.90vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria1.31-2.90vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.80-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.97-4.09vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.38-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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3.93Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.98University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Puget Sound0.550.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
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5.1University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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6.24Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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5.91University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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7.21University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 21.6% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Paul Foley | 17.9% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 5.5% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 21.0% |
| Mike Knape | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| John Elam | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| Christopher Fuller | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Evan Rankin | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Sara Welsh | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% |
| Neil Roberts | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% |
| Alex Dodd | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.