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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+7.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.33+2.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.75+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.23+3.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.16+0.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.03vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.08+1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.68-1.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.27vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.38-2.32vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-0.40+2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.18-3.62vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.74-3.12vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.04-5.25vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.22vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.22-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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9.79University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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5.27Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.39Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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8.68Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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14.01Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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10.88McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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15.78Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.61Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| John Walton | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Nannig | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Root | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Owen Moore | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 30.8% | 18.8% |
| Meghan Haviland | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Donovan | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 60.6% |
| Giles Ruck | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 24.0% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.