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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.23+6.95vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68+4.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+0.06vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.38+2.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.04vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.75-0.90vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.16-3.04vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.22+3.58vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.08-1.34vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.04-2.34vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.74-2.16vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.02-4.07vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.18-5.79vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.40-1.89vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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5.37Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.69Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.96Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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13.58Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.66Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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10.84McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.93University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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14.11Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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15.83Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kickhafer | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Nannig | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Walton | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 14.3% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giles Ruck | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 24.7% | 13.3% |
| Ben Arquit | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Donovan | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Meghan Haviland | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Owen Moore | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 30.2% | 18.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 15.7% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.