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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+4.07vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.23+6.99vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.75+4.19vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.38+4.59vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.16+0.71vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.08+3.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.19vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.74+2.56vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.02+0.96vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.33-4.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.04-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.68-5.40vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.18-4.63vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.22-1.52vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.40-1.90vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.59Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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5.71Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.8Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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10.56McGill University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.96University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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13.48Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.1Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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15.81Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 13.4% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Chase Reynolds | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Root | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 1.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| John Walton | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 11.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Nannig | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Giles Ruck | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 26.0% | 13.8% |
| Owen Moore | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 27.6% | 18.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.