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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+3.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.94+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.17+2.99vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.52+1.18vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+0.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-2.36vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.14+3.08vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-0.82+3.61vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.34-3.31vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.13-3.82vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.32-0.53vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-0.02vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.11-6.66vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.53-3.01vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-2.49-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.48Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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12.08Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.61Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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12.47University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.98Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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12.99McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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16.27Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 22.7% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 14.7% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 1.8% |
| Camille Britton | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 7.2% |
| Madeline Pope | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Miller | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 3.7% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 29.4% | 9.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Behr | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 5.2% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.