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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.94+4.70vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+1.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.17+4.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07-0.43vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.34+0.62vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.13+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.11-0.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.52-2.99vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-3.40vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-0.82+1.62vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-2.49+3.15vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-0.05vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-3.04vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.32-3.53vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.53-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University1.130.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.6Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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13.62Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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16.15Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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13.95Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.96Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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12.47University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.0McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Drayton | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 22.9% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 14.4% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Camille Britton | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 22.0% | 7.9% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 13.1% | 71.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 26.8% | 11.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Miller | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Behr | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.