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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.11+7.13vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.17+6.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.47vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.34+3.74vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.80-1.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-0.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.94-1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07-2.62vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.13-0.50vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.52-2.95vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-3.41vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.53+1.08vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.32-0.41vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25+0.67vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-2.97vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.82-2.16vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.22-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.59Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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13.08McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.59University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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14.67Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.03Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.84Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.7Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hamilton | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 22.8% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Behr | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 8.8% |
| Lauren Miller | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 7.4% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 20.7% | 33.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Camille Britton | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.