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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.11+7.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+3.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.32+8.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+0.57vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.94-0.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+0.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.34-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.17-0.59vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.13-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.80-7.33vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-1.22+2.66vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-5.80vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.53-0.82vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-2.98vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.82-2.18vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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12.55University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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5.96Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.55Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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14.66Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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13.18McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.02Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.82Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.72Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hamilton | 5.0% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Miller | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Michael Pinto | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 22.3% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 23.1% | 30.5% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Behr | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 16.3% | 9.7% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Camille Britton | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 16.7% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.