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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.34+6.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.17+4.38vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.94+0.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.11+1.57vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.52-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.07-3.24vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98-4.19vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.32+1.65vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.13-3.60vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25+1.67vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.53-0.76vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-2.91vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-1.22-1.29vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.82-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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5.86Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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5.81Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.65University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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14.67Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.24McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.09Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.71Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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13.88Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Pope | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 21.3% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Miller | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% |
| Grace Woodcock | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 23.1% | 31.4% |
| Matthew Behr | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 29.1% |
| Camille Britton | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.