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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.80+5.22vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.31+2.17vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.76+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.97+0.90vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.87-2.13vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.02-3.48vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound1.26-3.76vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.51-3.14vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound0.55-4.17vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.38-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
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5.9University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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3.87Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.52Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Puget Sound0.550.1%1st Place
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7.21University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Welsh | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% |
| Evan Rankin | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Christopher Fuller | 15.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% |
| Paul Foley | 17.2% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Rust | 21.5% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Mike Knape | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 20.2% |
| John Elam | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 20.1% |
| Alex Dodd | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.