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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sara Welsh 6.1% 7.7% 7.5% 8.2% 8.7% 9.7% 11.8% 14.0% 13.7% 12.6%
Evan Rankin 10.3% 10.1% 11.0% 10.4% 12.1% 11.9% 11.0% 9.9% 8.9% 4.4%
Christopher Fuller 15.9% 14.5% 12.9% 13.9% 13.2% 11.7% 7.6% 5.5% 3.7% 1.1%
Neil Roberts 6.7% 6.9% 10.1% 9.0% 9.4% 12.6% 11.7% 13.1% 10.9% 9.6%
Paul Foley 17.2% 18.0% 13.7% 15.0% 12.0% 8.4% 6.9% 5.7% 2.2% 0.9%
Bryan Rust 21.5% 18.2% 16.6% 13.7% 9.8% 8.3% 6.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Mike Knape 8.7% 9.4% 12.3% 11.0% 11.9% 11.2% 12.4% 9.9% 9.2% 4.0%
Phoebe Gilday 4.4% 5.8% 4.8% 7.8% 7.3% 8.1% 11.5% 14.0% 16.1% 20.2%
John Elam 5.2% 5.0% 6.2% 5.3% 7.9% 9.7% 11.5% 13.4% 15.7% 20.1%
Alex Dodd 4.0% 4.4% 4.9% 5.7% 7.7% 8.4% 8.7% 11.4% 18.2% 26.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.