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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.11+7.33vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+3.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.17+5.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52+3.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-0.54vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.34+1.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-1.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.13+0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-5.19vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.53+3.12vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.32+1.61vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.94-6.01vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.22+1.62vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-0.82-0.09vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-9.06vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.14-3.77vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.25-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.2%1st Place
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7.93Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University1.130.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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13.12McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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12.61University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.99Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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14.62Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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13.91Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.94Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.23Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.79Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hamilton | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 16.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 18.0% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Behr | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 8.7% |
| Lauren Miller | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 6.3% |
| Wells Drayton | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 29.8% |
| Camille Britton | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Nick Ferrara | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.