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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.66vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+0.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.55+2.02vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.96vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35-2.60vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.35-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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3.62George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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4.09Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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5.4Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 14.2% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 19.1% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 15.9% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 30.5% | 51.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 13.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 24.9% | 12.1% | 3.5% |
| Natalie Jones | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 35.7% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.