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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.35+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.02vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+0.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.46vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35-1.82vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.03-2.37vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.55+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.86Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.54U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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3.18George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.63Georgetown University2.030.2%1st Place
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7.15University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Patterson | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 27.5% | 13.4% | 2.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 23.0% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 14.8% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 15.9% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 20.6% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 15.7% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 27.5% | 56.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 40.9% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.