← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.35+2.08vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.03+1.67vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.91+0.87vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.93vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.49vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-0.35+0.91vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University1.35-2.21vs Predicted
-
8University of Virginia-0.55-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
-
3.67Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
-
3.87Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
3.07University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
-
3.51U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
-
6.91University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
-
4.79Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
-
7.1University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 23.1% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.8% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 13.2% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 22.4% | 21.6% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 16.2% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Jones | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 10.4% | 34.0% | 43.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 28.7% | 14.5% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 32.7% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.