← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.35+2.08vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.91+0.89vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.35+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.03-1.30vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia-0.55+0.13vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland-0.35-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
-
3.04University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
-
3.89Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
4.79Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
-
3.7Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
-
3.46U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
-
7.13University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
-
6.91University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 22.7% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 22.5% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 26.2% | 15.4% | 2.5% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 13.8% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 18.0% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 27.6% | 55.2% |
| Natalie Jones | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 40.7% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.