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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.96vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+1.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.52vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.35+0.77vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03-1.30vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35-2.87vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.55+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.35-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.88Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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4.77Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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3.7Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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3.13George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.13University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 24.7% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 15.7% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 27.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.0% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 22.4% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 7.5% | 27.9% | 55.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.