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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.48vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.03+0.69vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35-0.82vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91-1.10vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.35-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.55-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.48U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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3.69Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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3.18George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.9Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.74Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 24.3% | 20.5% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 17.1% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.9% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 20.9% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 12.1% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 25.9% | 13.7% | 3.4% |
| Natalie Jones | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 34.1% | 45.0% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 33.9% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.