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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.97vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.35+2.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.51vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.03-0.33vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91-1.15vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35-2.87vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.35-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.55-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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4.83Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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3.67Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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3.85Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.13George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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6.94University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 24.7% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 3.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 15.9% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 22.2% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Jones | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 34.0% | 45.1% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 33.5% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.