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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.34vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.03+1.57vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+0.80vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.98vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.55-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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3.57Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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3.8Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.13George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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4.64Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 19.4% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 2.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.6% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 14.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 3.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 20.3% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 22.9% | 22.4% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 19.9% | 32.6% | 9.7% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.