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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.35vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+1.05vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+0.80vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.03-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.97vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.55-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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3.05George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.8Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.65Georgetown University2.030.2%1st Place
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3.03University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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4.62Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 18.8% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 2.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 21.4% | 22.2% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 13.4% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 3.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 15.3% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 3.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 22.0% | 22.3% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 32.4% | 9.4% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 9.2% | 78.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.