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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bryan Rust 18.8% 18.5% 15.5% 13.6% 9.2% 9.5% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2% 1.0%
Erika Vranizan 15.0% 16.3% 15.3% 13.3% 11.0% 10.2% 7.9% 5.9% 4.6% 0.5%
Christopher Fuller 13.9% 13.2% 13.0% 11.7% 14.9% 11.1% 10.1% 6.9% 3.8% 1.4%
Paul Foley 14.8% 15.9% 14.0% 15.0% 12.6% 10.0% 8.0% 5.1% 3.4% 1.2%
Evan Rankin 10.4% 8.3% 9.5% 10.8% 10.9% 13.7% 13.1% 9.6% 9.3% 4.4%
Mike Knape 10.0% 9.0% 8.9% 9.0% 12.0% 11.6% 11.7% 11.8% 8.8% 7.2%
John Elam 3.6% 3.8% 5.6% 5.9% 5.5% 9.7% 12.1% 15.0% 17.0% 21.8%
Phoebe Gilday 3.9% 4.1% 5.5% 6.0% 8.2% 6.8% 10.3% 13.4% 20.0% 21.8%
Neil Roberts 6.4% 7.0% 8.1% 8.4% 9.9% 10.4% 11.1% 15.2% 13.0% 10.5%
Alex Dodd 3.2% 3.9% 4.6% 6.3% 5.8% 7.0% 8.8% 12.3% 17.9% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.