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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+5.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+8.05vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.28+7.09vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+6.84vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+5.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+4.85vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73+0.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.79vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.15-2.32vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79+2.44vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95+0.79vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.73-3.54vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-3.90vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.79vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.13vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.31+1.80vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.20-2.72vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.32-6.76vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston2.49-9.23vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-9.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Harvard University3.1812.2%1st Place
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10.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.3%1st Place
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10.09Tulane University2.283.6%1st Place
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10.84Boston College2.204.9%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University2.224.5%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island2.783.2%1st Place
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7.01Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.2%1st Place
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6.68Stanford University3.159.8%1st Place
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12.44Cornell University1.792.6%1st Place
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11.79Dartmouth College1.953.7%1st Place
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8.46Brown University2.736.6%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.686.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy2.605.9%1st Place
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13.87University of Pennsylvania1.582.5%1st Place
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17.8University of Wisconsin0.310.5%1st Place
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14.28Connecticut College1.201.9%1st Place
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11.24University of Miami2.323.5%1st Place
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9.77College of Charleston2.495.0%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 12.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 10.4% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 12.6% | 57.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 10.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.