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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.02+2.76vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.88+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.76+1.41vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.87-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.31-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.26-1.52vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.55-0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.51-1.88vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.97-4.88vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.38-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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4.12Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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4.11Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
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6.12University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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7.44University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 18.8% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Fuller | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Paul Foley | 14.8% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Evan Rankin | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Mike Knape | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| John Elam | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 21.8% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 20.0% | 21.8% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% |
| Alex Dodd | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.